November 25, 2011
While it's been easy to get carried away with the exceptional entertainment on offer in the top flight this season, there are also numerous outstanding team and personal performances taking place in the lower divisions at the moment, notably at the Galpharm, where Huddersfield's win over Notts.County last weekend secured them the Football league record of 43 matches without defeat. One of the primary reasons for their recent good form has been the sensational goalscoring record of Jordan Rhodes, whose brace on Saturday took his current tally to eleven goals in his last seven starts. While compiling that impressive total, Rhodes has also notched six goals in his last three appearances for Scotland's under-21s in qualifying matches, so if you're looking for the next big transfer to come out of the lower Leagues, it may be worth keeping an eye on Huddersfield.
Following another feast of goals for the Premier League last weekend, let's hope for a few more crackers to come amongst this lot:
1) Stoke v Blackburn: Are Stoke's tactics finally getting found out? Having established themselves as Premier League regulars, four consecutive defeats in which 14 goals have been conceded have led to serious questions being asked of their defence and their manager's refusal to alter their basic style of football in any circumstances. Maybe their so far successful Europa League campaign is proving too much of a distraction from keeping their top-flight place, but if they fail to win this match, the clamour from the sidelines will grow intensely. Rovers have scored three times in each of their last two away games, but failed to win either match. Indeed, their only victory so far also came with the concession of three goals, so it is easy to see where their main problem lies. Another problem they may face against Stoke is that they have failed to score in any of the sides' last five meetings, and as I can't imagine that Tony Pulis will be doing much else other than working on tightening up his defence this week in training, this may be the moment for Stoke to halt their slide with a victory.
2) Bolton v Everton: Bolton still haven't recorded a draw this season and Everton have yet to draw away. There have also been just two draws between these teams in their last 17 meetings, so perhaps I'm being a bit naive in plumping for a draw here in one of the more impenetrable fixtures of the weekend.
3) Chelsea v Wolves: It's difficult to imagine a club attracting as little sympathy as Chelsea do when they are going through a tricky spell, and to my mind the reasons behind that lie in their manager and players' responses to adversity such as the defeat to QPR over a month ago, from which they still don't appear to have recovered mentally. Their poor man's Jose Mourinho also displays a lack of class and grace that has typified the club under Roman Abramovich, and may cause him many problems in trying to turn his team's fortunes around. He will be meeting his antithesis on the touchline on Saturday in the awkward shape of Mick McCarthy. In their favour, Chelsea have won six of the last seven meetings with Wolves, five of them without conceding, but on current form, they could find it tough going to break Wolves down here, even though I feel a narrow home win may still be the outcome.
4) Man.U.v Newcastle: The unbeaten tag has gone, so will the fall down the table be continued here for Newcastle? Given that the Reds have won 20 of their last 21 home League games, and that Newcastle's last win at Old Trafford came the day after Mrs.McManaman gave birth to little Steve, I don't fancy their chances much.
5) Norwich v QPR: Neil Warnock will have a point to prove here after Paul Lambert was given last season's Championship Manager of the Year award despite his team finishing second to Warnock's side, something which he readily admits still rankles with him. Both teams can be pleased with their current mid-table placings, and this is a tough one to call, particularly as only one of the teams' last seven meetings has featured more than a solitary goal. The suspension of Joey Barton may haunt Rangers here, added to the fact that they have had a player sent off on each of their last three visits to Carrow Road. I would expect more goals this time around, but as to who will score more of them, it really is a toss-up.
6) Sunderland v Wigan: The crossbar and a superb last gasp save from Mark Schwarzer extended Sunderland's run of home draws to three last weekend, and considering the quality of opposition they have faced, that really isn't good enough. Wigan have managed just two away goals all season, a total they achieved in this game alone last year, and despite finding it incredibly difficult to back Sunderland in any game at the moment, they really should be up to winning this one.
7) West Brom v Tottenham: The early return of Shane Long from a relatively serious injury helped his team put paid to Bolton last time out, but this promises to be a far sterner test for the Baggies as Spurs' progress continued with a totally dominant display against Villa on Monday that leaves them with an outstanding chance of a return to the Champions League. Since their opening defeats to the Manchester clubs, Spurs have won eight and drawn the other of their nine League games, and can be fancied to record another narrow victory here.
8) Arsenal v Fulham: Five wins in a row for Arsenal now, and in 24 visits to Arsenal's grounds, Fulham have managed to draw three and lose the remaining 21. Home win.
9) Swansea v Aston Villa: Defending has suddenly become a distant memory for Villa, who have now conceded twelve goals in their last five games, and remain one of only four sides without an away win so far. Swansea's 1-0 defeat to Man.U. last weekend confirmed that visitors to the Liberty will not get an easy ride this season, and if City can get their noses in front on Sunday, they may well be able to hold on for a valuable win. As for the scoreline, are you ready for stat of the week? Villa have made seven League visits to Swansea, and in six of those games, the final score was 2-1. Incredibly, there is another significant scoreline stat for the reverse fixture, which is that in their seven League visits to Villa Park, Swansea have lost to nil on every occasion. That stat will no doubt be put uner severe pressure in January's rematch, but I'm happy to side with the hosts here.
10) Liverpool v Man.City: Saving the best for last, this should be an absolute cracker, and to my mind, will be the toughest test yet of City's near-perfect record. While the Reds seem to find it hard going to break down the division's lesser lights, they come into their own when the top sides visit, and this fixture should be no exception. City have won just one of their last 22 visits to Anfield in League and Cup, and even that solitary victory came with an injury time winner. Last season, Liverpool coasted to a 3-0 win over a strong City line-up, and I think this match may be where the unbeaten run ends.
Last week's four away selections were let down by only one side. Partick Thistle's embarrassing 1-1 draw at junior amateur side Culter in the Scottish Cup denied us a large payout as the other three selections all won, but we're still well in profit for the season, so I have another suggestion (or two) for you this week. A winning £10 four-timer on Arsenal, Southend, Cowdenbeath and Alloa would return £50.15 with Stan James. If you wanted to take more of a chance and boost the potential winnings to £95.75, you could try adding Accrington into the mix for a tasty fivefold.
Good luck!
Posted by Nick