Flutterama blog

December 2, 2011

English Premier League Gameweek 14 Preview

There's nothing more I can add to the huge number of heartfelt tributes that have been paid to Gary Speed following the general and genuine shock surrounding his death last weekend, but whatever the reasons behind the events, I hope that as a result, we will at least see a wider and more intelligent discussion over the tremendously debilitating effects that clinical depression can cause. The decision made by Stan Collymore, for instance, to openly discuss his long-standing battle with the illness has led to the usual ignorant outbursts from many quarters issued by people who hide behind their keyboards as they send messages telling him to "pull himself together", and that his money and a well-paid job in football leave him with no reason to be "depressed", thereby displaying a complete ignorance of what the condition entails and how it can affect those that suffer from it. Ignorance (together with a reluctance to listen and learn) seems to be quite a major characteristic of the general public on so many issues, and it can only be hoped that the terrible events of last Sunday will go some way to remedying that situation, although that does seem quite a distant hope.

The Premier League will resume on Saturday despite the shocking events of last Sunday, so here's a preview of this round of fixtures:

1) Newcastle v Chelsea: We're not really much the wiser about Newcastle's chances of staying in the top four following last weekend's matches as a most fortunate penalty together with a sterling backs-to-the-wall effort earned them a point at Old Trafford. Their unbeaten home record will be fully examined here, although with Chelsea's resilience on the road having been questioned by recent performances, this surely represents a golden opportunity for Newcastle to put some distance between themselves and their visitors. Meetings between these two at St.James's Park haven't been packed full of goals in recent years, with none of the last nine encounters featuring more than two goals, and I don't expect that famine to end on Saturday, but I do believe that the hosts can record a 1-0 win to heap further trouble upon their visitors.

2) Blackburn v Swansea: If a football manager can win one out of thirteen games and earn himself a new contract, then the Blackburn fans' worst fears surely can't be far away from being realised. Rovers managed to concede three goals in a match for the fourth time in five games last Saturday, and even Swansea, who have notched just four goals on the road this season and remain winless away from home, should be looking forward to this trip. Following this match, Blackburn face Sunderland, West Brom and Bolton, so they really need to make full use of this less testing period of fixtures before visiting Anfield and Old Trafford during the festive period, however, I see no reason why Swansea can't secure a point at least against what should be a demoralised opposition.

3) Man. City v Norwich: Occasionally, players come along who, no matter what logic is brought into play, should never be able to make an impact at the top level. To be honest, I thought that Grant Holt would struggle to make an impact even at League One level when he arrived at Carrow Road from Shrewsbury, but the lumbering, diving, battering ram continues to make me wonder whether my whole football watching life has been nothing more than a dream. Norwich should really lose this match 4-0, but no doubt your papers on Sunday will be full of stories about the heroism of the tub of lard, who finds it so difficult to stay on his feet when an opponent blows on him, having come off the bench to score a last minute equaliser to deny the leaders.

4) QPR v WBA: The outcome of this match may well depend on whether it is the formation that underperformed in the first halves at Tottenham and Norwich for Rangers or the one that so nearly rescued those games in the second halves that Neil Warnock utilises on Saturday. This fixture was also Warnock's first in charge of Rangers in 2010 when he inspired a struggling team to beat a Baggies side heading for promotion, before matching that achievement himself the following year, and there have been enough surprise results between these two over the years to reduce predictions for Saturday to guesswork. Nobody has scored fewer goals at home than QPR with five, but Joey Barton will return from suspension, while Shane Long continues to carry a huge threat for the visitors, so I'll take the easy way out and go for a draw.

5) Tottenham v Bolton: Only an 86th minute equaliser from Newcastle a few weeks ago has denied Spurs a run of ten successive wins, but their next three fixtures should hold no problems for them as they seek to consolidate their top three position. Bolton have lost six and drawn one of their last seven visits to White Hart Lane in all competitions, and look set for more misery here.

6) Wigan v Arsenal: Now this promises to be a hugely entertaining match, with Wigan having gained plenty of confidence from their climb off the bottom courtesy of a win at Sunderland, while Arsenal have had difficulty keeping Wigan at bay at the DW in recent seasons. They may have scored eight times in their last three visits, but they have also conceded six goals in the same period, while recording a win, a draw and a defeat, so we can look forward to an end-to-end encounter on Saturday that is not as easy to predict as it may first appear, so I'll stick to having a small dabble on William Hill and Paddy Power's offer of 7/4 against four or more goals in the game.

7) Aston Villa v Man.United: Nobody else comes close to United's miserly three goals conceded away from home so far, and their unbeaten away record should be safe here at a ground where their last League defeat came 16 years ago. I fancy Villa to fail to score for the third match in a row, but with Rooney looking likely to miss out, I can't choose between 0-0 or 0-1 here.

8) Everton v Stoke: Much has been made of Stoke's difficulties following Europa League ties this season, and with a match against Dynamo Kiev to be played on Thursday, more difficulties await them here. Mind you, their last win at Goodison came a few weeks after the Brixton riots in 1981, so maybe history is due to repeat itself.....

9) Wolves v Sunderland: I was nearly sick on Saturday when I heard an interview with the ever-more purple faced Steve Bruce following his side's defeat to Wigan. His assertion that he has never walked away from anything in his career failed to include the line "unless more money is involved", and the fans who remember him so fondly at Wigan, Palace, Huddersfield etc. may be enjoying his current predicament. These sides are locked together just above the relegation zone, and should still be locked together after this meeting as I find it impossible to split them on current form. One thing we should expect is both sides to score, as that has happened in all of their last ten encounters. 1-1.

10) Fulham v Liverpool: A wise choice for Monday's TV offering considering the eventful evening these two provided last season under the lights, with Liverpool storming to a 5-2 victory. This match will be played the day after the 44th anniversary of the last League draw between these sides at Craven Cottage, and it is also the case that Liverpool are yet to draw away from home this season, so I'm happy to go for the Reds to gain another three points on Monday night.

After decades of placing football accumulators, I had a first last week, as all four selections in the main bet drew their matches. That would have resulted in a huge payout except for the fact that I had them all down as home wins! Anyway, another four choices for your accas this week, A £10 fourfold on Tottenham, Crawley, Arbroath and Queen's Park would return £51.84 with Stan James if all won their matches.

Good luck!
Posted by Nick